Shipping & chokepoint markets
Throughput markets on the world's busiest maritime chokepoints.
Shipping and chokepoint markets let you trade on throughput and vessel arrivals across the world's busiest maritime chokepoints — passages such as the Suez and Panama canals and the Strait of Hormuz. Each market poses a clear yes/no question, from whether a vessel reaches a port or chokepoint on schedule to how much traffic moves through it over a set window. Prices move like live probabilities as voyages progress, so a contract can reprice sharply when congestion builds or a passage slows. Every market's terms are fixed when it opens, and it settles automatically afterward from official arrival and throughput data. Trading carries zero fees. Maritime markets round out GADUIN's supply-chain disruption category, alongside flight and rail contracts.
About shipping & chokepoint markets
What these markets are
Shipping markets track vessels and throughput at the world’s critical maritime chokepoints — the Suez and Panama canals, the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandeb. Some contracts ask whether a specific voyage reaches port on time; others track how much traffic clears a chokepoint over a window. They open ahead of the estimated arrival and close when it is due. When a chokepoint clogs or port congestion builds at the destination, throughput falls and the delay flows straight down the supply chain — into retailer stockouts, idled factories, and higher freight costs.
How to read the price
A price is the probability the market assigns to an outcome. An "on time arrival" contract at 70% costs about $0.70 and pays $1 if the vessel reaches port within the window. Because voyages run for days and can queue for canal transit or divert around trouble, these prices tend to swing more than a single flight or train.
How settlement works
Ships settle on official maritime and port records: the vessel's recorded arrival, or the measured throughput at the chokepoint, against the value fixed when the market opened. Settlement is automatic, with no manual call.
Worked example
A container ship bound for Rotterdam via Suez opens at "on time" 65%. Congestion builds at the canal and tracking shows the vessel anchored in the waiting queue; "on time" slides to 30%. It arrives two days behind its locked ETA — the on-time contract settles $0 and the delayed side is paid.
Browse by departure port
Browse by chokepoint
- Suez Canal
- Panama Canal
- Bosporus Strait
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait
- Malacca Strait
- Strait of Hormuz
- Cape of Good Hope
- Gibraltar Strait
- Dover Strait
- Oresund Strait
- Taiwan Strait
- Korea Strait
- Tsugaru Strait
- Luzon Strait
- Lombok Strait
- Ombai Strait
- Bohai Strait
- Torres Strait
- Sunda Strait
- Makassar Strait
- Magellan Strait
- Yucatan Channel
- Windward Passage
- Mona Passage
- Balabac Strait
- Bering Strait
- Mindoro Strait
- Kerch Strait
Related reading on shipping delays
- Port Congestion Hedging for Freight Forwarders | GADUIN
Freight forwarders lose thousands to demurrage when vessels queue at port. Transport event contracts hedge congestion risk in USDT, settled automatically.
- Force Majeure in Shipping Contracts vs Event Contracts
Force majeure excuses carriers — your losses remain. Vessel delay event contracts on Gaduin settle by oracle in USDT, no legal dispute required.
- Demurrage & Detention: Hedge Port Fees with Event Contracts
D&D fees can surge without warning. Learn how freight traders use event contracts—not insurance—to hedge demurrage and detention exposure on Gaduin.
- Hormuz Chokepoint & Vessel Delay Contracts | Gaduin
Strait of Hormuz disruptions remake global shipping. See how vessel delay event contracts on Gaduin help hedge Gulf cargo delays — settled in USDT.
- Container Lashing Inspection Delay: Why Ships Wait
A container lashing inspection delay can hold departure after loading. Learn how checks, rework and clearance affect sailing and delivery ETAs.
- Cruise Ship Delay Contracts: Hedge or Trade Port Call Risk
How cruise port call delay contracts work on Gaduin: what the cruise line refunds, where travel insurance stops, and the signals that move a price.
Trading event contracts carries risk: you can lose the full amount you stake. Nothing on GADUIN is investment advice.