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Chokepoint monitor

Korea Strait

Open5 days ago

The stakes

Will at least 1517 ships pass through the Korea Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?49%Closes Aug 30, 2026

Transits177a day-18% against normalNormal 216 a day

· delayed by 4 days

Situation report

Traffic is normal: 195.9 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 216 — 91% of normal. Transits last ran at 177 a day against a normal 216, down 18%. The market on “Will at least 1517 ships pass through the Korea Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 49%.

At sea

Transits over time

Daily transits from May 19 to Aug 16, running between 0 and 278 a day.
  • Transits
  • Normal
Daily transits through Korea Strait
DateTransits
Aug 16177
Aug 15204
Aug 14188
Aug 13215
Aug 12209
Aug 11177
Aug 10201
Aug 9191
Aug 8195
Aug 7189
Aug 6226
Aug 5212
Aug 4278
Aug 3216
Aug 2203
Aug 1232
Jul 31233
Jul 30214
Jul 29210
Jul 28209
Jul 27234
Jul 26206
Jul 25212
Jul 24221
Jul 23221
Jul 22208
Jul 21196
Jul 20226
Jul 19200
Jul 18231
Jul 17222
Jul 16232
Jul 15207
Jul 14169
Jul 13207
Jul 12178
Jul 11204
Jul 10233
Jul 9228
Jul 8224
Jul 7216
Jul 6205
Jul 5223
Jul 4214
Jul 3222
Jul 2248
Jul 1211
Jun 30237
Jun 29210
Jun 28221
Jun 27231
Jun 26234
Jun 25247
Jun 24251
Jun 23197
Jun 22232
Jun 21238
Jun 20196
Jun 19213
Jun 18217
Jun 17221
Jun 16210
Jun 15221
Jun 14214
Jun 13240
Jun 12213
Jun 11195
Jun 10219
Jun 9218
Jun 8218
Jun 7208
Jun 6234
Jun 5246
Jun 4225
Jun 3218
Jun 2208
Jun 1236
May 31262
May 30241
May 29244
May 28239
May 27212
May 26185
May 25209
May 24217
May 23211
May 22228
May 21201
May 20226
May 19214

· delayed by 4 days

Markets

What people are backing with money on this passage.

Prediction markets on Korea Strait
QuestionImpliedCloses
Will at least 1517 ships pass through the Korea Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?49%Aug 30, 2026

Volume is not reporting for these markets.

Data health

2 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago
  • Pricesnot reporting
  • Transits · delayed by 4 days
  • Transits by vessel typenot reporting
  • Vessels holdingnot reporting
  • Briefnot reporting
  • Eventsnot reporting
  • Markets