A week of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, counted as one number. The market gives that a 50% chance; the count is published a few days after the week ends and settles it.
Today's arrivals at Manchester are running against a 277 line, with 187 reported so far.
HERITAGE ADVENTURER is under way for Auckland. The market gives an on-time arrival a 95% chance, settled on the port's own arrival record.
The market gives an on-time arrival at Sunderland a 47% chance, settled on the operator's own recorded arrival.
Choose a listed event
Browse flight, train or shipping markets. Check the service, date and outcomes on the market page.
Read the rules and price
Review the outcome definitions, trading close and settlement rules. Weigh the price before you trade — the full amount you put in is at risk.
Follow the outcome
The contract settles under the market’s published rules. A contract on the outcome that happens pays $1; every other contract pays $0.
New to event contracts? See what a supply-chain disruption market is and how public-data settlement works.
Published market rules and platform terms govern trading and settlement. Trading involves risk. Not available to US persons.
Nothing open here right now. Flights list about 48 hours before departure — an airport board is where tomorrow shows first.
Lisbon Portela
Lisbon, Portugal
$8 vol
Manchester
Manchester, United Kingdom
$326 vol
Moscow Sheremetyevo
Moscow, Russia
Rome Leonardo Da Vinci (Fiumicino)
Rome, Italy
$287 vol
Vienna
Vienna, Austria
$195 vol
Toronto Lester B. Pearson
Toronto, Canada
$66 vol
Copenhagen Kastrup
Copenhagen, Denmark
$33 vol
London Stansted
London, United Kingdom
$27 vol
Hangzhou Xiaoshan
Hangzhou, China
Kerch StraitSharply reduced29% of normal
Balabac StraitBelow normal76% of normal
Strait of MagellanBelow normal79% of normal
Panama CanalRunning normally92% of normal
Mona PassageRunning normally94% of normal
Tsugaru StraitRunning normally97% of normal
Cape of Good HopeRunning normally97% of normal
Korea StraitRunning normally98% of normal
Mindoro StraitRunning normally99% of normal
Taiwan StraitRunning normally99% of normal
Oresund StraitRunning normally99% of normal
Windward PassageRunning normally100% of normal
HelsinkiFIHELLive port camToo early to callEduard47 · CC BY-SA 4.0
BarlettaITBLT71% disrupted$3,089 traded
GaetaITGAE38% disrupted$7,185 traded
ParanaguaBRPNG35% disrupted$186,937 tradedCLAITON LUIS MORAES · CC BY-SA 4.0
La SpeziaITSPE33% disrupted$41,769 tradedMatteo Grasselli Fontana · CC BY-SA 4.0
AucklandNZAKL32% disrupted$207,012 tradedRonnie Macdonald from Chelmsford, United Kingdom · CC BY 2.0
Le HavreFRLEH32% disrupted$879,883 tradedAlexandre Prevot from Nancy, France · CC BY-SA 2.0
AlexandroupolisGRAXD28% disrupted$3,095 tradedTexniths · CC BY-SA 3.0
VeneziaITVCE26% disrupted$111,685 tradedMarc Ryckaert · CC BY-SA 4.0
ChalkidaGRCLK23% disrupted$19,835 tradedC messier · CC BY-SA 4.0
Vibo ValentiaITVVA21% disrupted$7,570 tradedANTONIO DAZZETTI · CC BY 3.0
London EustonEUS37% disrupted$55,956 tradedAlvin Leong · CC BY-SA 2.0
London PaddingtonPAD28% disrupted$57,459 traded
London WaterlooWAT19% disrupted$57,734 tradedBjørn Christian Tørrissen · CC BY-SA 3.0
London Kings CrossKGX18% disrupted$41,657 tradedGeorge Rex from London, England · CC BY-SA 2.0
BrightonBTN17% disrupted$61,950 tradedkallerna · CC BY-SA 4.0
Birmingham New StreetBHM15% disrupted$50,452 tradedBs0u10e01 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Manchester PiccadillyMAN13% disrupted$43,668 tradedG-13114 · CC BY-SA 4.0
LeedsLDS11% disrupted$38,240 tradedBob Harvey · CC BY-SA 2.0
Glasgow CentralGLC11% disrupted$51,125 traded瑞丽江的河水 · CC BY-SA 4.0
EdinburghEDB11% disrupted$42,651 traded瑞丽江的河水 · CC BY-SA 4.0
London BridgeLBG7% disrupted$65,537 tradedC. G. P. Grey · CC BY 2.0
London Liverpool StreetLST2% disrupted$31,729 tradedAurelien Guichard from London, United Kingdom · CC BY-SA 2.0
