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Rail disruption markets

Delay and cancellation markets on Great Britain's National Rail network.

Next 48 hourslater departures open as they approach
Route map from Brighton to Ore
05:52 1U06 SN

Brighton to Ore

On time
54.05x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.62x2%
$713 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:52 AM GMT+1
Route map from Colchester to Peterborough
05:40 2E70 LE

Colchester to Peterborough

On time
53.23x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.31x2%
$702 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:40 AM GMT+1
Route map from Glasgow Central to Glasgow Central
06:50 2O16 SR

Glasgow Central to Glasgow Central

On time
71.36x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$671 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:50 AM GMT+1
Route map from Cambridge to Kings Lynn
06:15 2T02 GN

Cambridge to Kings Lynn

On time
77.04x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$651 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:15 AM GMT+1
Route map from Felixstowe to Ipswich
06:36 2R03 LE

Felixstowe to Ipswich

On time
77.42x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$648 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:36 AM GMT+1
Route map from Cardiff Central to Cheltenham Spa
06:10 2G48 AW

Cardiff Central to Cheltenham Spa

On time
94.38x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$638 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:10 AM GMT+1
Route map from Reading to Redhill
05:56 2O54 GW

Reading to Redhill

On time
86.29x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$634 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:56 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Kings Cross to Kings Lynn
05:54 1T02 GN

London Kings Cross to Kings Lynn

On time
88.54x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$629 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:54 AM GMT+1
Route map from Bristol Temple Meads to Severn Beach
06:01 2K04 GW

Bristol Temple Meads to Severn Beach

On time
87.90x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$628 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:01 AM GMT+1
Route map from Severn Beach to Bristol Temple Meads
07:01 2K05 GW

Severn Beach to Bristol Temple Meads

On time
83.18x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$620 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:01 AM GMT+1
Route map from Castleford to Leeds
07:15 2F22 NT

Castleford to Leeds

On time
80.45x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$615 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:15 AM GMT+1
Route map from York to Manchester Airport
05:02 1P56 TP

York to Manchester Airport

On time
54.71x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.66x2%
$614 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:02 AM GMT+1
Route map from Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street
05:44 1F59 CC

Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street

On time
54.50x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.73x2%
$603 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:44 AM GMT+1
Route map from Margate to London St Pancras International
06:15 1J11 SE

Margate to London St Pancras International

On time
73.36x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$601 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:15 AM GMT+1
Route map from Gillingham (Kent) to Luton
05:06 9P02 TL

Gillingham (Kent) to Luton

On time
73.05x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$600 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:06 AM GMT+1
Route map from Bognor Regis to Barnham
06:42 2K09 SN

Bognor Regis to Barnham

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:42 AM GMT+1
Route map from Dover Priory to London St Pancras International
05:45 1L07 SE

Dover Priory to London St Pancras International

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:45 AM GMT+1
Route map from Gatwick Airport to Reading
05:11 1V34 GW

Gatwick Airport to Reading

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:11 AM GMT+1
Route map from Broadstairs to London St Pancras International
05:20 1C09 SE

Broadstairs to London St Pancras International

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:20 AM GMT+1
Route map from Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross
05:13 1T03 GN

Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:13 AM GMT+1
Route map from Margate to London St Pancras International
05:40 1J09 SE

Margate to London St Pancras International

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:40 AM GMT+1
Route map from Barnham to Bognor Regis
07:01 2K08 SN

Barnham to Bognor Regis

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:01 AM GMT+1
Route map from Letchworth Garden City to London Kings Cross
06:15 2R07 GN

Letchworth Garden City to London Kings Cross

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:15 AM GMT+1
Route map from Portsmouth Harbour to Horsham
06:04 1C09 SN

Portsmouth Harbour to Horsham

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:04 AM GMT+1
Route map from Doncaster to Sheffield
06:34 2R05 NT

Doncaster to Sheffield

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:34 AM GMT+1
Route map from Bognor Regis to Barnham
07:12 2K11 SN

Bognor Regis to Barnham

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:12 AM GMT+1
Route map from Sandwich to London St Pancras International
05:52 1L09 SE

Sandwich to London St Pancras International

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:52 AM GMT+1
Route map from London St Pancras International to Faversham
06:20 1F06 SE

London St Pancras International to Faversham

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:20 AM GMT+1
Route map from Faversham to London St Pancras International
06:28 1F11 SE

Faversham to London St Pancras International

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:28 AM GMT+1
Route map from Gravesend to Maidstone West
07:12 1T96 SE

Gravesend to Maidstone West

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:12 AM GMT+1
Route map from Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross
05:41 1T05 GN

Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross

On time
70.68x1%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
1.02x98%
$595 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:41 AM GMT+1
Route map from Moorgate to Stevenage
06:20 2F04 GN

Moorgate to Stevenage

On time
54.35x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.71x2%
$594 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:20 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Southend Central
05:40 2D04 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Southend Central

On time
53.67x2%
Delayed
1.04x96%
Cancelled
48.69x2%
$593 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:40 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Euston to Glasgow Central
23:45 1S26 CS

London Euston to Glasgow Central

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
54.33x2%
Cancelled
47.90x2%
$535 volDeparts Mon, Aug 31, 11:45 PM GMT+1
Route map from Portsmouth Harbour to Barnham
06:29 1Z11 SN

Portsmouth Harbour to Barnham

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.78x2%
Cancelled
46.24x2%
$529 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:29 AM GMT+1
Route map from Penzance to Newquay
05:20 2N00 GW

Penzance to Newquay

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.69x2%
Cancelled
46.14x2%
$509 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:20 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Shoeburyness
06:26 2B00 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Shoeburyness

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.71x2%
Cancelled
45.89x2%
$506 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:26 AM GMT+1
Route map from Sheffield to Leeds
06:19 1L32 NT

Sheffield to Leeds

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.71x2%
Cancelled
46.34x2%
$504 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:19 AM GMT+1
Route map from Manchester Victoria to Headbolt Lane
06:28 2K61 NT

Manchester Victoria to Headbolt Lane

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.70x2%
Cancelled
46.30x2%
$503 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:28 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Shoeburyness
06:04 2B54 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Shoeburyness

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.49x2%
Cancelled
46.25x2%
$503 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:04 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Grays
06:33 2D08 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Grays

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.01x2%
Cancelled
46.34x2%
$499 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:33 AM GMT+1
Route map from Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street
05:57 1F61 CC

Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.15x2%
Cancelled
46.22x2%
$499 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 5:57 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Pitsea
06:08 2D06 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Pitsea

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.62x2%
Cancelled
46.24x2%
$497 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:08 AM GMT+1
Route map from Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street
06:26 1B23 CC

Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
48.67x2%
Cancelled
49.20x2%
$497 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:26 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Grays
06:16 2R58 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Grays

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.47x2%
Cancelled
46.27x2%
$496 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:16 AM GMT+1
Route map from Grays to London Fenchurch Street
06:31 1D09 CC

Grays to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.56x2%
Cancelled
46.24x2%
$492 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:31 AM GMT+1
Route map from Leigh-on-Sea to London Fenchurch Street
06:35 1B05 CC

Leigh-on-Sea to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.47x2%
Cancelled
46.20x2%
$492 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:35 AM GMT+1
Route map from Corby to London St Pancras International
06:10 1H04 EM

Corby to London St Pancras International

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
47.96x2%
Cancelled
49.27x2%
$490 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:10 AM GMT+1
Route map from Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street
06:11 1F63 CC

Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
48.25x2%
Cancelled
49.30x2%
$490 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:11 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Pitsea
06:37 2R60 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Pitsea

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
48.43x2%
Cancelled
49.20x2%
$487 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:37 AM GMT+1
Route map from Bourne End to Marlow
07:16 2B14 GW

Bourne End to Marlow

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.37x2%
Cancelled
46.23x2%
$487 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:16 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Laindon
06:56 1N94 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Laindon

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
52.71x2%
Cancelled
46.14x2%
$486 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:56 AM GMT+1
Route map from Cleethorpes to Barton-on-Humber
06:51 2F81 EM

Cleethorpes to Barton-on-Humber

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
47.37x2%
Cancelled
49.53x2%
$486 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:51 AM GMT+1
Route map from Bourne End to Marlow
06:46 2B10 GW

Bourne End to Marlow

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.76x2%
Cancelled
46.31x2%
$483 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:46 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Fenchurch Street to Grays
07:02 2R62 CC

London Fenchurch Street to Grays

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.77x2%
Cancelled
46.22x2%
$481 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:02 AM GMT+1
Route map from Marlow to Bourne End
07:36 2B15 GW

Marlow to Bourne End

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
51.17x2%
Cancelled
46.32x2%
$479 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:36 AM GMT+1
Route map from Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street
06:07 1B03 CC

Shoeburyness to London Fenchurch Street

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
48.41x2%
Cancelled
49.18x2%
$478 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:07 AM GMT+1
Route map from Marlow to Bourne End
07:06 2B11 GW

Marlow to Bourne End

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
47.88x2%
Cancelled
49.22x2%
$472 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 7:06 AM GMT+1
Route map from London Marylebone to Gerrards Cross
06:20 2G07 CH

London Marylebone to Gerrards Cross

On time
1.04x96%
Delayed
47.64x2%
Cancelled
49.55x2%
$472 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:20 AM GMT+1
Route map from Crewe to Wrexham General
06:39 1J54 AW

Crewe to Wrexham General

On time
1.37x73%
Delayed
3.98x25%
Cancelled
53.70x2%
$144 volDeparts Tue, Sep 1, 6:39 AM GMT+1

Rail disruption markets let you trade on whether a train will arrive on time, run late, or be cancelled across Great Britain's National Rail network. Each market poses a clear yes/no question with a defined delay threshold — for example, whether a service reaches its destination within ten minutes of the timetable. Prices move like live probabilities as the journey unfolds, so a delayed contract that climbs through the afternoon reflects the crowd pricing in mounting disruption. Every market's terms are fixed when it opens, and it settles automatically afterward from official arrival data — with no operator discretion and no adjuster. Trading carries zero fees. Rail markets sit alongside flight and maritime contracts in GADUIN's supply-chain disruption category.

About rail disruption markets

What these markets are

Rail markets cover scheduled services on Great Britain’s National Rail network — a specific train, like the 15:10 from London King’s Cross. You trade whether it arrives on time, runs delayed beyond the threshold, or is cancelled. Each market is tied to one timetabled service and closes at its due arrival. Rail disruption doesn't stay on the platform: a delayed or cancelled service cascades into missed connections and holds up the freight and workforce movements that keep regional supply chains running.

How to read the price

Prices read straight as probabilities. If "on time" is trading at 82%, the market puts a 4-in-5 chance on a punctual arrival and the contract costs about $0.82. Commuter-peak congestion, engineering works, or a cancelled earlier service in the diagram all move these numbers before the train has left the platform.

How settlement works

Trains settle on the recorded arrival at the destination, read from official rail data and measured against the working timetable. Two independent official records must agree before a market settles, and an official cancellation is a settled outcome in its own right. The market resolves automatically against the terms fixed when it opened.

Worked example

An evening intercity service opens at "on time" 75%. A signalling fault upstream is reported and "delayed" climbs to 70%. The service is later recorded arriving 12 minutes late, past its threshold — the market settles "delayed" and those contracts pay $1 each.

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Trading event contracts carries risk: you can lose the full amount you stake. Nothing on GADUIN is investment advice.