Chokepoint monitor
Strait of Hormuz
Open5 days ago
The stakes
Will at least 29 ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Closes Aug 30, 2026
Transits1a day-75% against normalNormal 4 a day
· delayed by 4 days
Daily brief
Filed in the last 24 hours- ADNOC Issues Ninth Spot Crude Tender Since June as UAE Boosts Exports
OilPrice.com ·
- Are Hormuz ships more willing to defy Iran or the US? What the data shows
Al Jazeera ·
- Chinese Refiners Snap Up Iraqi Oil as Gulf Supply Routes Fracture
OilPrice.com ·
- $100 Diesel Cracks Signal a Much Tighter Oil Market Than Brent Suggests
OilPrice.com ·
- Three Chinese Tankers U-Turn in Hormuz as Risks Remain High
gCaptain ·
- 3 Chinese Supertankers Abort Hormuz Attempt
Rigzone ·
Situation report
Traffic is normal: 3.6 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 4 — 89% of normal. Transits last ran at 1 a day against a normal 4, down 75%. The market on “Will at least 29 ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 50%.
At sea
Transits over time
- Transits
- Normal
| Date | Transits |
|---|---|
| Aug 16 | 1 |
| Aug 15 | 1 |
| Aug 14 | 6 |
| Aug 13 | 4 |
| Aug 12 | 1 |
| Aug 11 | 8 |
| Aug 10 | 4 |
| Aug 9 | 1 |
| Aug 8 | 8 |
| Aug 7 | 4 |
| Aug 6 | 2 |
| Aug 5 | 4 |
| Aug 4 | 6 |
| Aug 3 | 6 |
| Aug 2 | 2 |
| Aug 1 | 3 |
| Jul 31 | 6 |
| Jul 30 | 2 |
| Jul 29 | 6 |
| Jul 28 | 4 |
| Jul 27 | 4 |
| Jul 26 | 3 |
| Jul 25 | 1 |
| Jul 24 | 3 |
| Jul 23 | 0 |
| Jul 22 | 3 |
| Jul 21 | 4 |
| Jul 20 | 3 |
| Jul 19 | 4 |
| Jul 18 | 5 |
| Jul 17 | 1 |
| Jul 16 | 4 |
| Jul 15 | 8 |
| Jul 14 | 5 |
| Jul 13 | 7 |
| Jul 12 | 3 |
| Jul 11 | 6 |
| Jul 10 | 4 |
| Jul 9 | 7 |
| Jul 8 | 11 |
| Jul 7 | 24 |
| Jul 6 | 23 |
| Jul 5 | 20 |
| Jul 4 | 15 |
| Jul 3 | 23 |
| Jul 2 | 25 |
| Jul 1 | 27 |
| Jun 30 | 14 |
| Jun 29 | 24 |
| Jun 28 | 11 |
| Jun 27 | 24 |
| Jun 26 | 27 |
| Jun 25 | 43 |
| Jun 24 | 44 |
| Jun 23 | 11 |
| Jun 22 | 10 |
| Jun 21 | 6 |
| Jun 20 | 23 |
| Jun 19 | 9 |
| Jun 18 | 19 |
| Jun 17 | 8 |
| Jun 16 | 5 |
| Jun 15 | 6 |
| Jun 14 | 0 |
| Jun 13 | 0 |
| Jun 12 | 1 |
| Jun 11 | 2 |
| Jun 10 | 3 |
| Jun 9 | 4 |
| Jun 8 | 7 |
| Jun 7 | 0 |
| Jun 6 | 2 |
| Jun 5 | 0 |
| Jun 4 | 3 |
| Jun 3 | 8 |
| Jun 2 | 5 |
| Jun 1 | 2 |
| May 31 | 2 |
| May 30 | 3 |
| May 29 | 1 |
| May 28 | 2 |
| May 27 | 1 |
| May 26 | 3 |
| May 25 | 4 |
| May 24 | 5 |
| May 23 | 3 |
| May 22 | 2 |
| May 21 | 4 |
| May 20 | 7 |
| May 19 | 4 |
· delayed by 4 days
Markets
What people are backing with money on this passage.
| Question | Implied | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| Will at least 29 ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz in the week of 24 August – 30 August? | 50% | Aug 30, 2026 |
Volume is not reporting for these markets.
Data health
3 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago- Pricesnot reporting
- Transits · delayed by 4 days
- Transits by vessel typenot reporting
- Vessels holdingnot reporting
- Brief
- Eventsnot reporting
- Markets