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Chokepoint monitor

Lombok Strait

Open5 days ago

The stakes

Will at least 261 ships pass through the Lombok Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Closes Aug 30, 2026

Transits27a day-27% against normalNormal 37 a day

· delayed by 4 days

Situation report

Traffic is normal: 35.3 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 37 — 95% of normal. Transits last ran at 27 a day against a normal 37, down 27%. The market on “Will at least 261 ships pass through the Lombok Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 50%.

At sea

Transits over time

Daily transits from May 19 to Aug 16, running between 0 and 57 a day.
  • Transits
  • Normal
Daily transits through Lombok Strait
DateTransits
Aug 1627
Aug 1542
Aug 1431
Aug 1338
Aug 1236
Aug 1144
Aug 1029
Aug 932
Aug 849
Aug 733
Aug 637
Aug 532
Aug 444
Aug 334
Aug 229
Aug 129
Jul 3130
Jul 3032
Jul 2933
Jul 2832
Jul 2745
Jul 2621
Jul 2532
Jul 2435
Jul 2325
Jul 2230
Jul 2132
Jul 2027
Jul 1931
Jul 1829
Jul 1733
Jul 1642
Jul 1544
Jul 1438
Jul 1333
Jul 1242
Jul 1140
Jul 1036
Jul 932
Jul 837
Jul 724
Jul 637
Jul 535
Jul 438
Jul 339
Jul 241
Jul 137
Jun 3046
Jun 2929
Jun 2845
Jun 2742
Jun 2628
Jun 2539
Jun 2435
Jun 2335
Jun 2237
Jun 2138
Jun 2042
Jun 1935
Jun 1840
Jun 1735
Jun 1641
Jun 1533
Jun 1445
Jun 1341
Jun 1236
Jun 1139
Jun 1033
Jun 957
Jun 840
Jun 743
Jun 635
Jun 542
Jun 443
Jun 340
Jun 235
Jun 142
May 3142
May 3038
May 2941
May 2839
May 2738
May 2643
May 2523
May 2435
May 2341
May 2247
May 2133
May 2029
May 1942

· delayed by 4 days

Markets

What people are backing with money on this passage.

Prediction markets on Lombok Strait
QuestionImpliedCloses
Will at least 261 ships pass through the Lombok Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Aug 30, 2026

Volume is not reporting for these markets.

Data health

2 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago
  • Pricesnot reporting
  • Transits · delayed by 4 days
  • Transits by vessel typenot reporting
  • Vessels holdingnot reporting
  • Briefnot reporting
  • Eventsnot reporting
  • Markets