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Chokepoint monitor

Torres Strait

Open5 days ago

The stakes

Will at least 62 ships pass through the Torres Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Closes Aug 30, 2026

Transits8a day-11% against normalNormal 9 a day

· delayed by 4 days

Situation report

Traffic is normal: 9.1 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 9 — 102% of normal. Transits last ran at 8 a day against a normal 9, down 11%. The market on “Will at least 62 ships pass through the Torres Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 50%.

At sea

Transits over time

Daily transits from May 19 to Aug 16, running between 0 and 16 a day.
  • Transits
  • Normal
Daily transits through Torres Strait
DateTransits
Aug 168
Aug 1513
Aug 146
Aug 1310
Aug 129
Aug 118
Aug 1010
Aug 98
Aug 84
Aug 712
Aug 64
Aug 58
Aug 48
Aug 310
Aug 210
Aug 18
Jul 317
Jul 3012
Jul 296
Jul 287
Jul 276
Jul 269
Jul 2512
Jul 249
Jul 238
Jul 228
Jul 216
Jul 208
Jul 195
Jul 1810
Jul 176
Jul 164
Jul 1516
Jul 1410
Jul 138
Jul 125
Jul 1114
Jul 106
Jul 910
Jul 88
Jul 76
Jul 611
Jul 54
Jul 48
Jul 310
Jul 28
Jul 113
Jun 3011
Jun 299
Jun 285
Jun 279
Jun 267
Jun 2512
Jun 249
Jun 239
Jun 229
Jun 218
Jun 2013
Jun 197
Jun 189
Jun 1713
Jun 1615
Jun 159
Jun 147
Jun 1312
Jun 1212
Jun 1111
Jun 1012
Jun 98
Jun 810
Jun 715
Jun 66
Jun 59
Jun 48
Jun 39
Jun 214
Jun 15
May 3110
May 3011
May 296
May 2810
May 2712
May 2612
May 257
May 2413
May 2312
May 228
May 216
May 2010
May 1915

· delayed by 4 days

Markets

What people are backing with money on this passage.

Prediction markets on Torres Strait
QuestionImpliedCloses
Will at least 62 ships pass through the Torres Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Aug 30, 2026

Volume is not reporting for these markets.

Data health

2 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago
  • Pricesnot reporting
  • Transits · delayed by 4 days
  • Transits by vessel typenot reporting
  • Vessels holdingnot reporting
  • Briefnot reporting
  • Eventsnot reporting
  • Markets