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Chokepoint monitor

Ombai Strait

Open5 days ago

The stakes

Will at least 67 ships pass through the Ombai Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Closes Aug 30, 2026

Transits12a day+20% against normalNormal 10 a day

· delayed by 4 days

Situation report

Traffic is normal: 10.1 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 10 — 101% of normal. Transits last ran at 12 a day against a normal 10, up 20%. The market on “Will at least 67 ships pass through the Ombai Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 50%.

At sea

Transits over time

Daily transits from May 19 to Aug 16, running between 0 and 22 a day.
  • Transits
  • Normal
Daily transits through Ombai Strait
DateTransits
Aug 1612
Aug 158
Aug 1416
Aug 138
Aug 124
Aug 1113
Aug 1010
Aug 96
Aug 810
Aug 76
Aug 610
Aug 510
Aug 48
Aug 311
Aug 210
Aug 110
Jul 3110
Jul 307
Jul 297
Jul 286
Jul 278
Jul 2611
Jul 259
Jul 246
Jul 2310
Jul 2213
Jul 2111
Jul 2022
Jul 1914
Jul 1811
Jul 1711
Jul 168
Jul 156
Jul 148
Jul 138
Jul 126
Jul 1114
Jul 108
Jul 915
Jul 89
Jul 78
Jul 68
Jul 511
Jul 410
Jul 31
Jul 212
Jul 16
Jun 308
Jun 2913
Jun 2811
Jun 279
Jun 2610
Jun 2511
Jun 246
Jun 239
Jun 227
Jun 2112
Jun 2013
Jun 199
Jun 1812
Jun 1714
Jun 167
Jun 1511
Jun 1411
Jun 139
Jun 1214
Jun 117
Jun 1010
Jun 98
Jun 88
Jun 77
Jun 610
Jun 510
Jun 45
Jun 312
Jun 213
Jun 110
May 3110
May 306
May 296
May 287
May 2715
May 264
May 2514
May 248
May 239
May 227
May 2112
May 205
May 1914

· delayed by 4 days

Markets

What people are backing with money on this passage.

Prediction markets on Ombai Strait
QuestionImpliedCloses
Will at least 67 ships pass through the Ombai Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Aug 30, 2026

Volume is not reporting for these markets.

Data health

2 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago
  • Pricesnot reporting
  • Transits · delayed by 4 days
  • Transits by vessel typenot reporting
  • Vessels holdingnot reporting
  • Briefnot reporting
  • Eventsnot reporting
  • Markets