Chokepoint monitor
Gibraltar Strait
Open5 days ago
The stakes
Will at least 920 ships pass through the Gibraltar Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?50%Closes Aug 30, 2026
Transits150a day+14% against normalNormal 132 a day
· delayed by 4 days
Situation report
Traffic is normal: 130.7 transits a day over the last 7 days, against a trailing median of 132 — 99% of normal. Transits last ran at 150 a day against a normal 132, up 14%. The market on “Will at least 920 ships pass through the Gibraltar Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August?” is pricing 50%.
At sea
Transits over time
- Transits
- Normal
| Date | Transits |
|---|---|
| Aug 16 | 150 |
| Aug 15 | 120 |
| Aug 14 | 124 |
| Aug 13 | 138 |
| Aug 12 | 136 |
| Aug 11 | 129 |
| Aug 10 | 118 |
| Aug 9 | 112 |
| Aug 8 | 143 |
| Aug 7 | 148 |
| Aug 6 | 128 |
| Aug 5 | 146 |
| Aug 4 | 133 |
| Aug 3 | 114 |
| Aug 2 | 125 |
| Aug 1 | 136 |
| Jul 31 | 126 |
| Jul 30 | 122 |
| Jul 29 | 118 |
| Jul 28 | 134 |
| Jul 27 | 145 |
| Jul 26 | 117 |
| Jul 25 | 136 |
| Jul 24 | 116 |
| Jul 23 | 129 |
| Jul 22 | 135 |
| Jul 21 | 135 |
| Jul 20 | 129 |
| Jul 19 | 119 |
| Jul 18 | 120 |
| Jul 17 | 128 |
| Jul 16 | 125 |
| Jul 15 | 121 |
| Jul 14 | 126 |
| Jul 13 | 133 |
| Jul 12 | 144 |
| Jul 11 | 111 |
| Jul 10 | 134 |
| Jul 9 | 120 |
| Jul 8 | 129 |
| Jul 7 | 132 |
| Jul 6 | 126 |
| Jul 5 | 131 |
| Jul 4 | 132 |
| Jul 3 | 128 |
| Jul 2 | 127 |
| Jul 1 | 134 |
| Jun 30 | 133 |
| Jun 29 | 140 |
| Jun 28 | 129 |
| Jun 27 | 140 |
| Jun 26 | 136 |
| Jun 25 | 116 |
| Jun 24 | 125 |
| Jun 23 | 133 |
| Jun 22 | 148 |
| Jun 21 | 124 |
| Jun 20 | 163 |
| Jun 19 | 132 |
| Jun 18 | 140 |
| Jun 17 | 123 |
| Jun 16 | 137 |
| Jun 15 | 141 |
| Jun 14 | 114 |
| Jun 13 | 163 |
| Jun 12 | 122 |
| Jun 11 | 142 |
| Jun 10 | 131 |
| Jun 9 | 124 |
| Jun 8 | 141 |
| Jun 7 | 120 |
| Jun 6 | 142 |
| Jun 5 | 112 |
| Jun 4 | 134 |
| Jun 3 | 111 |
| Jun 2 | 136 |
| Jun 1 | 122 |
| May 31 | 151 |
| May 30 | 138 |
| May 29 | 133 |
| May 28 | 146 |
| May 27 | 125 |
| May 26 | 144 |
| May 25 | 143 |
| May 24 | 134 |
| May 23 | 134 |
| May 22 | 143 |
| May 21 | 120 |
| May 20 | 147 |
| May 19 | 160 |
· delayed by 4 days
Markets
What people are backing with money on this passage.
| Question | Implied | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| Will at least 920 ships pass through the Gibraltar Strait in the week of 24 August – 30 August? | 50% | Aug 30, 2026 |
Volume is not reporting for these markets.
Data health
2 of 7 feeds reportingOldest figure on this page: 5 days ago- Pricesnot reporting
- Transits · delayed by 4 days
- Transits by vessel typenot reporting
- Vessels holdingnot reporting
- Briefnot reporting
- Eventsnot reporting
- Markets