Bosporus Strait

The most recent published day, Sep 6, 2026, counted 63 transits. Across the 90 days on record the count has run between 38 and 100 a day. Traffic over the last 7 days is -11% against the 7 days before.

Everything above counts what already happened. These are the only figures on this page about what happens next, and nobody wrote them — the market did. Each is the price of a contract on this passage's published weekly transit count, and it moves while the market is open.

• Will at least 493 ships pass through the Bosporus Strait in the week of 7 September – 13 September? Settles on the transit count published for that week, a few days after the week ends.

  Closes Sep 13, 2026, 11:59 PMLast moved Sep 13, 2026, 4:52 PM

  Chance

  50%

  Yes
• Will at least 470 ships pass through the Bosporus Strait in the week of 14 September – 20 September? Settles on the transit count published for that week, a few days after the week ends.

  Closes Sep 20, 2026, 11:59 PMLast moved Sep 13, 2026, 5:19 PM

  Chance

  50%

  Yes

A price is what people here are paying to take that side. It is not a forecast and not an official figure. The count for a week is published a few days after the week ends, so these markets settle after their window closes.