United Parcel Service flight delay markets

Live prediction markets on United Parcel Service (5X) flights. Trade whether each flight lands on time, priced in real time by the market and settled automatically from official data.

On-time record

on_time55% · 33

delayed45% · 27

Across 60 settled United Parcel Service markets between Sep 2, 2026 and Sep 6, 2026, the most common result was on_time, at 55%.

Share of the last 60 settled markets on GADUIN, by settled outcome. Market history, not an operator statistic.

Open markets

Will 5X492 (Louisville → Calgary) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Tuesday 8 September?Trading closes Sep 8, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC

Recently settled

The last 60 United Parcel Service markets to settle, each with the date trading closed and the result it settled to.

Will 5X5606 (Louisville → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 6, 2026delayed
Will 5X5602 (Louisville → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026delayed
Will 5X492 (Sioux Falls → Calgary) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026on_time
Will 5X5625 (Minneapolis → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026on_time
Will 5X9744 (Buffalo → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026on_time
Will 5X606 (Louisville → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026delayed
Will 5X602 (Louisville → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Saturday 5 September?Closed Sep 5, 2026on_time
Will 5X610 (Philadelphia → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026on_time
Will 5X606 (Louisville → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026delayed
Will 5X492 (Sioux Falls → Calgary) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026on_time
Will 5X895 (Reno → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026on_time
Will 5X771 (Houston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026delayed
Will 5X701 (New Orleans → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026on_time
Will 5X1305 (Atlanta → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026on_time
Will 5X1193 (Philadelphia → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Friday 4 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026delayed
Will 5X335 (Miami → Dallas-Fort Worth) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 4, 2026delayed
Will 5X5772 (Dallas-Fort Worth → Houston) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X2013 (Boston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X5285 (Charlotte → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2895 (Reno → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2905 (Los Angeles → Dallas-Fort Worth) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2843 (Salt Lake City → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2751 (Dallas-Fort Worth → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2115 (New York → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X2307 (Atlanta → Dallas-Fort Worth) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X7803 (New Orleans → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X5337 (Miami → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X5771 (Houston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2215 (Baltimore → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X2325 (Orlando → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X5481 (Detroit → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X7818 (Dulles → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X9716 (Boston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X9704 (Atlanta → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X610 (Philadelphia → Chicago) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1324 (Philadelphia → Orlando) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1284 (Philadelphia → Charlotte) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1122 (Philadelphia → Hartford) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1154 (Philadelphia → Pittsburgh) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X921 (San Diego → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X903 (Los Angeles → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X895 (Reno → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X843 (Salt Lake City → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X605 (Chicago → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X891 (Las Vegas → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X771 (Houston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1189 (Philadelphia → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1013 (Boston → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1083 (Newark → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X401 (Miami → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026delayed
Will 5X1481 (Detroit → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1219 (Dulles → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1207 (Baltimore → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1305 (Atlanta → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X751 (Dallas-Fort Worth → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X1329 (Orlando → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Thursday 3 September?Closed Sep 3, 2026on_time
Will 5X5772 (Dallas-Fort Worth → Houston) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Wednesday 2 September?Closed Sep 2, 2026delayed
Will 5X2980 (Dallas-Fort Worth → Portland) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Wednesday 2 September?Closed Sep 2, 2026on_time
Will 5X3081 (Newark → Louisville) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Wednesday 2 September?Closed Sep 2, 2026delayed
Will 5X5333 (Miami → Dallas-Fort Worth) arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Wednesday 2 September?Closed Sep 2, 2026delayed