航运与咽喉点市场

全球最繁忙海运咽喉点的通行量市场。

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ALGOMA INTREPID

航运与咽喉要道市场让你交易全球最繁忙海上咽喉要道的吞吐量与船舶到达——包括苏伊士运河、巴拿马运河和霍尔木兹海峡等通道。每个市场都提出一个明确的是/否问题：从某艘船舶是否按时抵达港口或咽喉要道，到在设定的时间窗口内有多少运量通过该通道。随着航程推进，价格如同实时概率一样波动，因此当拥堵加剧或通道放缓时，合约价格可能大幅重估。每个市场的条款在开盘时即被固定，事件结束后依据官方的到达与吞吐量数据自动结算。交易零手续费。海运市场与航班、铁路合约一道，构成 GADUIN 完整的供应链中断类别。

关于航运与咽喉要道市场

这些市场是什么

航运市场追踪全球关键海上咽喉要道——苏伊士运河与巴拿马运河、霍尔木兹海峡、Bab-el-Mandeb——的船舶与通过量。有些合约询问某段特定航程是否准点抵港；另一些则追踪在一段时间内有多少运量通过某咽喉要道。它们在预计到达之前开盘，并在预定到达时收盘。当某个咽喉要道堵塞、或目的港的港口拥堵加剧时,通过量下降,延误便沿供应链直接向下传导——导致零售缺货、工厂停工以及运费上涨。

如何解读价格

价格是市场赋予某一结果的概率。定价 70% 的"准点抵达"合约约需 $0.70，若船舶在时限内抵港则支付 $1。由于航程持续数天，可能为通过运河而排队，或为避开麻烦而改道，这些价格往往比单个航班或列车波动更大。

结算如何运作

船舶依据官方的海事与港口记录结算：相对于市场开盘时锁定的数值，船舶记录的到达，或在咽喉要道测得的通过量。结算自动完成，不做人工判定。

实例演示

一艘经苏伊士驶往鹿特丹的集装箱船以"准点"65% 开盘。运河拥堵加剧，追踪显示该船锚泊于等待队列中；"准点"下滑至 30%。它比锁定的 ETA 晚两天抵达——准点合约以 $0 结算，延误一方获得支付。

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Belgium, Berendrecht to Denmark, Kobenhavn

Malta, Delimara to Italy, Genova

Netherlands, Amsterdam to France, Donges

France, Donges to Belgium, Antwerpen

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Norway, Ardalstangen to Norway, Hoyanger

Sweden, Stockholm to Sweden, Degerhamn

Greece, Keratsinion to Spain, Algeciras

Spain, Valencia to Italy, Gioia Tauro

Italy, Pier Isab to Algeria, Alger (Algiers)

Netherlands, Maassluis to United Kingdom, Fawley

United States, Duluth to Canada, Thunder Bay

Greece, Piraeus to Greece, Thessaloniki

Italy, Augusta to Italy, Vibo Valentia

Morocco, Casablanca to Spain, Algeciras

United States, Chinook to United States, Portland

France, Saint-Nazaire to Spain, Bilbao

Norway, Skarholmen to Norway, Kristiansund

Netherlands, Sluiskil to Netherlands, Rotterdam

Sweden, Jatterson to Latvia, Riga

France, Le Havre to Netherlands, Amsterdam

Finland, Hanko (Hango) to Germany, Lubeck

Netherlands, Vlaardingen to United Kingdom, London

Belgium, Kieldrecht to United Kingdom, Immingham

France, Le Havre to Gibraltar, Gibraltar

United States, Fisher Island, Miami to Cuba, Mariel

Norway, Fredrikstad to Norway, Tjeldbergodden

United States, Baytown to United States, Mobile

Australia, Newcastle to Japan, Kakogawa

United States, Longview to Japan, Kashima, Ibaraki

Mexico, Rosarito Terminal to Mexico, Guaymas

Russia, Korsakov to Russia, Vladivostok

United States, Newportville to United States, Lake Charles

United States, Philadelphia to United States, Fernandina Beach

Belgium, Terdonk to Spain, Marin, Pontevedra

Ireland, Ringaskiddy to Canada, Whiffen Head

United States, Groves to Panama, Cristobal

United States, Beaumont to Panama, Cristobal