铁路中断市场
英国国家铁路 (National Rail) 网络的延误与取消市场。
Holyhead to Cardiff Central
London Bridge to Beckenham Junction
Reading to Gatwick Airport
Aberdare to Cardiff Central
Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction to Dalston Junction
Brighton to Ore
Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction
London Euston to Walsall
Clapham Junction to Dalston Junction
Gatwick Airport to Reading
Tring to London Euston
Clapham Junction to Dalston Junction
Clapham Junction to Dalston Junction
Reading to Gatwick Airport
Clapham Junction to Dalston Junction
Moorgate to Stevenage
Leeds to Lincoln Central
London Victoria to Ore
Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction
Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction
Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross
Stratford (London) to Clapham Junction
Stalybridge to Wigan North Western
Beckenham Junction to London Bridge
Beckenham Junction to London Bridge
London Euston to Tring
Birmingham New Street to London Euston
Clapham Junction to Stratford (London)
Kings Lynn to London Kings Cross
Purley to Tattenham Corner
London Bridge to Beckenham Junction
London Kings Cross to Kings Lynn
Dalston Junction to Clapham Junction
London Kings Cross to Cambridge
Kettering to Melton Mowbray
London Kings Cross to Letchworth Garden City
Bletchley to Bedford
Southminster to Wickford
London Euston to Milton Keynes Central
Wickford to Southminster
Luton to Rainham (Kent)
Southminster to Wickford
Wickford to Southminster
Bedford to Bletchley
Luton to Rainham (Kent)
London Kings Cross to Kings Lynn
Birmingham New Street to London Euston
Reading to Gatwick Airport
Portsmouth Harbour to Horsham
Portsmouth Harbour to Horsham
Birmingham New Street to Stansted Airport
Portsmouth Harbour to Horsham
London St Pancras International to Paris Nord
Glasgow Central to Ayr
London Bridge to East Croydon
St Albans Abbey to Watford Junction
London Charing Cross to Ashford International
Preston to Colne
London St Pancras International to Paris Nord
铁路中断市场让你交易英国 National Rail 网络上的列车会准点到达、延误还是被取消。每个市场都提出一个明确的是/否问题，并设有确定的延误阈值——例如，某趟班次是否在时刻表规定时间后十分钟内抵达终点站。随着行程推进，价格如同实时概率一样波动：延误合约在午后一路走高，即反映出大众正在为不断加剧的中断定价。每个市场的条款在开盘时即被固定，事件结束后依据官方到达数据自动结算——没有运营方的自由裁量，也没有理算员。交易零手续费。在 GADUIN 的供应链中断类别中，铁路市场与航班、海运合约并列。
关于铁路中断市场
这些市场是什么
铁路市场涵盖英国 National Rail 网络的预定班次——某趟特定列车，例如从 London King’s Cross 出发的 15:10。你交易它是否准点到达、延误超过阈值，或被取消。每个市场对应一趟时刻表班次，并在其预定到达时收盘。铁路中断不会止于站台:一趟晚点或取消的列车会连锁引发错过的换乘,并拖住维系区域供应链运转的货运与人员流动。
如何解读价格
价格可直接解读为概率。若"准点"报价为 82%，则市场认为准点到达的概率为五分之四，合约约需 $0.82。通勤高峰的拥堵、工程施工，或运行图中先前被取消的班次，都会在列车尚未驶离站台前就改变这些数字。
结算如何运作
列车依据在终点站记录的到达时间结算，该时间读取自官方铁路数据，并与工作时刻表比较。市场结算前须有两份独立的官方记录相互一致，官方取消本身即为一种结算结果。市场依据开盘时锁定的条款自动结算。
实例演示
一趟傍晚的城际班次以"准点"75% 开盘。上游报告信号故障，"延误"攀升至 70%。该班次随后被记录为延误 12 分钟到达，超过其阈值——市场以"延误"结算，这些合约每份支付 $1。
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交易事件合约存在风险：你可能损失全部投入的金额。GADUIN 上的任何内容均不构成投资建议。