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• Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Position Sizing

  Learn to apply the Kelly Criterion to event contract portfolios. Size positions optimally using price, implied probability, and fractional Kelly.

• Event Contract Liquidity & Bid-Ask Spreads Explained

  Learn how bid-ask spreads work on event contracts, what drives liquidity on GADUIN, and how to read market depth when hedging flight or train delays.

• Expected Value (EV) for Event Contract Traders

  Master the EV formula for flight delay event contracts: calculate implied probability, measure your edge, and size positions with the Kelly Criterion.

• Peer-to-Pool vs Order Book: GADUIN Market Structure

  Why GADUIN uses a peer-to-pool model instead of an order book for transport event contracts — instant liquidity, USDT settlement, no waiting for a match.

• How GADUIN Verifies Flight Delay Outcomes | Oracle Design

  GADUIN settles flight delay event contracts in USDT through a deterministic multi-source oracle — verifiable outcomes, no claims, no discretionary review.

• How GADUIN Settles Flight Delay Contracts in USDT

  GADUIN settles flight delay event contracts automatically in USDT using oracle data — no filing needed. Learn how trigger thresholds and timing work.