实时市场

每一个运行中的市场。

Trading

AS 553

关于实时市场

实时市场是当前正在开盘交易的事件合约——一架在空中的航班、一列途中的列车，或一艘正驶向某个咽喉点或港口的船舶。每一个此刻都可交易，其价格随行程推进而实时更新。

每个市场都有与其类别挂钩的收盘时间。航班市场在飞机预定降落时收盘；铁路市场在时刻表到达时收盘；航运市场在预计抵达港口或咽喉点时收盘。市场一旦收盘便停止交易，等待依据官方数据结算。

网格中每个市场对应一张卡片。每张卡片显示各结果的当前价格——可直接解读为概率——以及总交易量和距收盘的剩余时间，让你一眼看清哪些在变动、众人如何为其定价。

Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Position Sizing
Learn to apply the Kelly Criterion to event contract portfolios. Size positions optimally using price, implied probability, and fractional Kelly.
Event Contract Liquidity & Bid-Ask Spreads Explained
Learn how bid-ask spreads work on event contracts, what drives liquidity on GADUIN, and how to read market depth when hedging flight or train delays.
Expected Value (EV) for Event Contract Traders
Master the EV formula for flight delay event contracts: calculate implied probability, measure your edge, and size positions with the Kelly Criterion.
Peer-to-Pool vs Order Book: GADUIN Market Structure
Why GADUIN uses a peer-to-pool model instead of an order book for transport event contracts — instant liquidity, USDT settlement, no waiting for a match.
How GADUIN Verifies Flight Delay Outcomes | Oracle Design
GADUIN settles flight delay event contracts in USDT through a deterministic multi-source oracle — verifiable outcomes, no claims, no discretionary review.
How GADUIN Settles Flight Delay Contracts in USDT
GADUIN settles flight delay event contracts automatically in USDT using oracle data — no filing needed. Learn how trigger thresholds and timing work.

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