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航班中断市场

基于官方数据自动结算的准点到达市场。

未来 48 小时更晚的班次将在临近时开放
Route map from Detroit to Dulles
Trading
DL 1787

United States, Detroit to United States, Dulles

准时
69.72x1%
延误
1.01x99%
已取消
0%
$1,038 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:05
Route map from Mumbai to New Delhi
Trading
SG 801

India, Mumbai to India, New Delhi

准时
69.74x1%
延误
1.01x99%
已取消
0%
$1,029 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+5:30 23:55
Route map from Atlanta to Dulles
Trading
DL 1695

United States, Atlanta to United States, Dulles

准时
68.76x1%
延误
1.01x99%
已取消
0%
$1,002 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 14:54
Route map from Charlotte to Boston
Trading
AA 1140

United States, Charlotte to United States, Boston

准时
67.46x1%
延误
1.02x98%
已取消
0%
$989 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 14:25
Route map from Rome to Cologne
Trading
EW 889

Italy, Rome to Germany, Cologne

准时
40.16x2%
延误
1.04x96%
已取消
91.10x1%
$958 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 20:45
Route map from Moscow to Tashkent
Trading
SU 1870

Russia, Moscow to Uzbekistan, Tashkent

准时
72.97x1%
延误
1.02x99%
已取消
0%
$904 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 19:40
Route map from Chicago to Harrisburg
Trading
UA 533

United States, Chicago to United States, Harrisburg

准时
43.10x2%
延误
1.02x98%
已取消
0%
$794 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 13:55
Route map from San Francisco to Kahului
Trading
UA 2010

United States, San Francisco to United States, Kahului

准时
37.56x3%
延误
1.03x97%
已取消
0%
$744 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 08:15
Route map from Toronto to Quebec
Trading
PD 189

Canada, Toronto to Canada, Quebec

准时
68.72x1%
延误
1.02x99%
已取消
0%
$714 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:20
Route map from Detroit to Baltimore
Trading
DL 2480

United States, Detroit to United States, Baltimore

准时
51.10x2%
延误
1.02x98%
已取消
0%
$708 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:13
Route map from Lanzarote Island to Tenerife Island
Trading
NT 489

Spain, Lanzarote Island to Spain, Tenerife Island

准时
68.84x1%
延误
1.02x99%
已取消
0%
$703 成交量出发 9月2日周三 UTC 19:50
Route map from Charlotte to Norfolk
Trading
AA 5625

United States, Charlotte to United States, Norfolk

准时
69.75x1%
延误
1.02x99%
已取消
0%
$701 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:31
Route map from Minneapolis to Missoula
Trading
DL 362

United States, Minneapolis to United States, Missoula

准时
1.12x89%
延误
9.04x11%
已取消
0%
$674 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 12:50
Route map from Moscow to Fergana
Trading
DP 729

Russia, Moscow to Uzbekistan, Fergana

准时
13.39x7%
延误
1.08x92%
已取消
0%
$622 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 19:40
Route map from Frankfurt-am-Main to Ulaanbaatar
Trading
OM 138

Germany, Frankfurt-am-Main to Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar

准时
31.38x3%
延误
1.03x97%
已取消
0%
$589 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 14:20
Route map from Minneapolis to Jacksonville
Trading
DL 2392

United States, Minneapolis to United States, Jacksonville

准时
2.90x34%
延误
1.53x65%
已取消
0%
$580 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 12:55
Route map from Washington to Nantucket
Trading
B6 2494

United States, Washington to United States, Nantucket

准时
8.93x11%
延误
1.13x89%
已取消
0%
$580 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:10
Route map from New York to Jacksonville
Trading
DL 1035

United States, New York to United States, Jacksonville

准时
5.28x19%
延误
1.24x81%
已取消
0%
$560 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 13:55
Route map from Phoenix to Imperial
Trading
9X 810

United States, Phoenix to United States, Imperial

准时
1.15x87%
延误
7.62x13%
已取消
0%
$556 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 12:10
Route map from Madrid to Hamburg
Trading
IB 777

Spain, Madrid to Germany, Hamburg

准时
1.04x96%
延误
39.24x3%
已取消
88.41x1%
$549 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 20:00
Route map from Amsterdam to Lyon
Trading
KL 1435

Netherlands, Amsterdam to France, Lyon

准时
22.56x4%
延误
1.05x95%
已取消
0%
$541 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 21:15
Route map from Phoenix to Silver City
Trading
AN 2007

United States, Phoenix to United States, Silver City

准时
1.58x63%
延误
2.73x37%
已取消
0%
$540 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 12:24
Route map from Amsterdam to Zagreb
Trading
KL 1969

Netherlands, Amsterdam to Croatia, Zagreb

准时
19.26x5%
延误
1.06x95%
已取消
0%
$535 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 20:45
Route map from Sao Paulo to Maceio
Trading
JJ 3118

Brazil, Sao Paulo to Brazil, Maceio

准时
13.13x8%
延误
1.08x92%
已取消
0%
$531 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-3 14:50
Route map from London to Stuttgart
Trading
EW 2465

United Kingdom, London to Germany, Stuttgart

准时
3.11x32%
延误
1.50x67%
已取消
85.65x1%
$504 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+1 20:00
Route map from Atlanta to Columbia
Trading
DL 2153

United States, Atlanta to United States, Columbia

准时
1.27x79%
延误
4.79x21%
已取消
0%
$477 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 15:40
Route map from Zurich to Ljubljana
Trading
LX 2278

Switzerland, Zurich to Slovenia, Ljubljana

准时
7.65x13%
延误
1.15x87%
已取消
0%
$461 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 21:30
Route map from Atlanta to San Juan
Trading
DL 1946

United States, Atlanta to Puerto Rico, San Juan

准时
1.32x76%
延误
4.17x24%
已取消
0%
$459 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 13:00
Route map from Palma De Mallorca to Munich
Trading
DE 1509

Spain, Palma De Mallorca to Germany, Munich

准时
8.46x12%
延误
1.14x88%
已取消
0%
$418 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 20:45
Route map from Dubai to Yekaterinburg
Trading
FZ 979

United Arab Emirates, Dubai to Russia, Yekaterinburg

准时
7.82x13%
延误
1.15x87%
已取消
0%
$416 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+4 18:20
Route map from Orlando to San Juan
Trading
F9 1824

United States, Orlando to Puerto Rico, San Juan

准时
1.47x68%
延误
3.14x32%
已取消
0%
$411 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 13:44
Route map from Copenhagen to Riga
Trading
DY 2063

Denmark, Copenhagen to Latvia, Riga

准时
1.14x88%
延误
8.96x11%
已取消
90.13x1%
$406 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 21:25
Route map from Seattle to Sitka
Trading
AS 633

United States, Seattle to United States, Sitka

准时
2.91x34%
延误
1.53x65%
已取消
0%
$405 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 11:23
Route map from Beijing to Blagoveschensk
Trading
IO 774

China, Beijing to Russia, Blagoveschensk

准时
10.86x9%
延误
1.11x90%
已取消
0%
$396 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+8 02:00
Route map from Baltimore to Atlanta
Trading
WN 1441

United States, Baltimore to United States, Atlanta

准时
1.08x92%
延误
15.89x6%
已取消
82.22x1%
$391 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 14:50
Route map from Seattle to Dulles
Trading
AS 737

United States, Seattle to United States, Dulles

准时
7.71x13%
延误
1.15x87%
已取消
0%
$373 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 08:38
Route map from Bogota to Cancun
Trading
VB 8300

Colombia, Bogota to Mexico, Cancun

准时
1.08x92%
延误
15.40x6%
已取消
88.33x1%
$368 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 12:05
Route map from Dallas-Fort Worth to Grand Rapids
Trading
AA 310

United States, Dallas-Fort Worth to United States, Grand Rapids

准时
1.70x59%
延误
2.46x41%
已取消
0%
$344 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 13:10
Route map from Los Angeles to Phoenix
Trading
WN 1567

United States, Los Angeles to United States, Phoenix

准时
1.19x84%
延误
6.71x15%
已取消
1%
$336 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 18:25
Route map from Doha to Dallas-Fort Worth
Trading
QR 729

Qatar, Doha to United States, Dallas-Fort Worth

准时
9.03x11%
延误
1.13x89%
已取消
0%
$321 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 07:50
Route map from Oslo to Evenes
Trading
DY 368

Norway, Oslo to Norway, Evenes

准时
1.11x90%
延误
11.12x9%
已取消
1%
$305 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 21:00
Route map from Amsterdam to Gothenburg
Trading
KL 1239

Netherlands, Amsterdam to Sweden, Gothenburg

准时
2.90x35%
延误
1.54x65%
已取消
1%
$294 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 21:20
Route map from San Diego to Las Vegas
Trading
WN 1204

United States, San Diego to United States, Las Vegas

准时
1.58x63%
延误
2.78x36%
已取消
1%
$284 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-7 12:25
Route map from Taipei to Fukuoka
Trading
BR 106

Taiwan, Taipei to Japan, Fukuoka

准时
1.48x68%
延误
3.18x31%
已取消
1%
$262 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+8 08:00
Route map from Arnavutkoy to Bodrum
Trading
TK 2526

Türkiye, Arnavutkoy to Türkiye, Bodrum

准时
1.64x61%
延误
2.61x38%
已取消
1%
$254 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 22:15
Route map from Palma De Mallorca to Prague
Trading
QS 2003

Spain, Palma De Mallorca to Czechia, Prague

准时
1.34x75%
延误
4.09x24%
已取消
95.75x1%
$252 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+2 01:55
Route map from Seoul to Tokyo
Trading
RS 701

South Korea, Seoul to Japan, Tokyo

准时
1.48x68%
延误
3.21x31%
已取消
74.62x1%
$240 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+9 09:20
Route map from Dallas-Fort Worth to Pittsburgh
Trading
AA 680

United States, Dallas-Fort Worth to United States, Pittsburgh

准时
1.69x59%
延误
2.57x39%
已取消
51.64x2%
$232 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 19:05
Route map from Kuala Lumpur to Kota Kinabalu
Trading
AK 5106

Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur to Malaysia, Kota Kinabalu

准时
1.35x74%
延误
4.02x25%
已取消
86.91x1%
$228 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+8 08:05
Route map from Melbourne to Sydney
Trading
QF 438

Australia, Melbourne to Australia, Sydney

准时
1.33x75%
延误
4.26x23%
已取消
89.14x1%
$222 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+10 11:05
Route map from Moscow to Khanty-Mansiysk
Trading
UT 351

Russia, Moscow to Russia, Khanty-Mansiysk

准时
1.91x52%
延误
2.15x47%
已取消
88.57x1%
$188 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 20:40
Route map from Denver to Nashville
Trading
WN 3317

United States, Denver to United States, Nashville

准时
1.53x65%
延误
3.05x33%
已取消
52.19x2%
$168 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-6 18:05
Route map from Barcelona to Athens
Trading
A3 713

Spain, Barcelona to Greece, Athens

准时
1.69x59%
延误
2.54x39%
已取消
60.42x2%
$162 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+2 01:55
Route map from Sydney to Denpasar-Bali Island
Trading
JQ 39

Australia, Sydney to Indonesia, Denpasar-Bali Island

准时
1.72x58%
延误
2.48x40%
已取消
67.82x1%
$145 成交量出发 9月3日周四 GMT+10 06:15
Route map from Madrid to Hamburg
Trading
IB 777

Spain, Madrid to Germany, Hamburg

准时
1.25x80%
延误
5.56x18%
已取消
49.27x2%
$118 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 19:50
Route map from Barcelona to San Francisco
Trading
UA 673

Spain, Barcelona to United States, San Francisco

准时
2.31x43%
延误
1.82x55%
已取消
59.73x2%
$111 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+2 16:10
Route map from Philadelphia to San Juan
Trading
B6 1047

United States, Philadelphia to Puerto Rico, San Juan

准时
1.32x76%
延误
4.52x22%
已取消
52.30x2%
$109 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-4 12:57
Route map from Dubai to Yekaterinburg
Trading
FZ 979

United Arab Emirates, Dubai to Russia, Yekaterinburg

准时
3.30x30%
延误
1.47x68%
已取消
52.29x2%
$92 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+4 19:35
Route map from Minneapolis to White Plains
Trading
DL 4680

United States, Minneapolis to United States, White Plains

准时
1.55x64%
延误
2.98x34%
已取消
47.56x2%
$57 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT-5 12:50
Route map from Doha to Dallas-Fort Worth
Trading
QR 729

Qatar, Doha to United States, Dallas-Fort Worth

准时
1.21x83%
延误
6.53x15%
已取消
50.82x2%
$31 成交量出发 9月2日周三 GMT+3 08:05

航班中断市场让你交易某个特定航班会准点到达、延误还是被取消。每个市场都提出一个明确的是/否问题,并设有确定的延误阈值——例如,该航班是否在预定到达时间后十五分钟内抵达。随着航班推进,价格如同实时概率一样波动:准点合约报价接近 95%,即反映出大众预期它将顺利降落。每个市场的条款在开盘时即被固定,事件结束后依据官方数据自动结算——以航班记录的到达时间对照预定到达时间——没有运营方的自由裁量,也没有理算员。交易零手续费。航班市场是 GADUIN 更广泛的供应链中断类别中的一个切入点,与铁路和海运合约并列。

关于航班中断市场

这些市场是什么

每个航班市场都是针对单个预定航班的合约——例如某一天的 UA 4557。你交易它是否会准点到达、延误超过固定阈值降落,或被取消。市场约在起飞前 48 小时挂牌,并在飞机预计到达时收盘。由于全球大量高价值、时效性强的航空货物就装载在这些客机的腹舱中,一次延误或取消会直接波及航空货运时刻表和准时制供应链。

如何解读价格

价格是某一结果的市场隐含概率。报价为 99% 的"准点"合约约需 $0.99,若航班按时降落则支付 $1——因为众人认为顺利到达几乎确定无疑,所以回报仅为微薄的 1.01x。当天气或紧凑的中转时间提高延误风险时,"准点"价格下跌,"延误"价格随之上涨。

结算如何运作

航班依据记录的到达时间结算,该时间读取自权威的航班追踪数据,并与预定到达时间比较。不做人工判定:市场依据开盘时锁定的条款自动结算。

实例演示

一趟跨大西洋航班以"准点"88%、"延误"11% 开盘。目的地上空形成风暴,交易者将"延误"推高至 60%。航班延误 40 分钟降落,超过延误阈值——持有"延误"者每份合约获得 $1,其余人获得 $0。

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交易事件合约存在风险:你可能损失全部投入的金额。GADUIN 上的任何内容均不构成投资建议。