On time
95% chance at closeSettled on the destination port authority's published arrival record against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened; on time means recorded within 1440 minutes of it
- Scheduled
- Nov 14, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC
- Recorded
- Nov 14, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Nov 14, 2026, 6:54 PM UTC
The journey
Final chance
- On timeResult95%
chance of on time
- Delayed0%
- Cancelled5%
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Current prices are shown above.
Timeline and payout
- Market opens7:07 PM GMT+1
- Market closes7:20 PM GMT+1
- PayoutResult: On time · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens
Recent trades
Rules
Settles "Delayed" if the ship arrives more than the delay threshold after its estimated arrival. The estimate and all other terms are fixed when the market opens. We use the arrival record the destination port publishes, checked after the tracking window closes.
Trades accepted after we first see the arrival on the destination port's board are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.
Delay threshold: 1,440 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.