20:13 London Paddington to Swansea
Settled · Result
Cancelled98% implied
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From
London Paddington
7:13 PM UTC
To
Swansea
10:43 PM UTC
- Scheduled
- Departed
- Running
- Held
- Arriving
- Arrived
Next stop: Reading
No trades yet · starting price even
1%
On time
1%
Delayed
98%
Cancelled
$641 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
- Opens2:53 AM UTC
- Closes4:43 AM UTC
- SettlesResolved: cancelled · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles
The arrival is confirmed by two independent official sources — Darwin, National Rail's real-time system, and Network Rail's TRUST train reporting — which must agree. A train arriving 5 or more minutes late at its destination settles "delayed"; an official planned cancellation settles "cancelled". The source and the exact rule are locked in when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the two feeds, not by anyone here.
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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