Will 1E76 NT from Chester to Leeds arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?
1E76 runs from Chester to Leeds for NT.
The journey
LiveWhat the market thinks
Connecting- On time28%
- Delayed69%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled2%
$196 vol
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Loading price historyOn time28%Delayed69%Cancelled2%
Loading price history
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens2:26 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
Loading…
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
69%