The 18:48 from Orpington to London Victoria was delayed on Sep 14
2D28 runs from Orpington to London Victoria for SE.
Delayed
market said 93%Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late
- Scheduled
- Sep 14, 2026, 6:33 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 14, 2026, 6:42 PM UTC
Where it finished
- On time6%
- DelayedResult93%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled1%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
The journey
Timeline
- Opens1:47 PM UTC
- Closes6:41 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.