Will 2O59 SE from London Cannon Street to London Cannon Street arrive on time on Sep 13?
2O59 runs from London Cannon Street to London Cannon Street for SE.
Trading closed — waiting on the result
No more trades can be placed. The event itself decides the outcome, and the market pays out $1.00 on every winning contract as soon as the result is reported.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time11%
- Delayed89%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens11:16 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesInstant & automatic
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.