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Trains2K50 GN
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The 17:32 from Moorgate to Welwyn Garden City was delayed on Sep 28

2K50 runs from Moorgate to Welwyn Garden City for GN.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 92%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 28, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 28, 2026, 5:29 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 28, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

The journey

Maxopolitan · CC BY-SA 4.0
Great Northern2K50

Where it finished

  • On time
    5%
  • DelayedResult
    92%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    3%
$334 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time5%Delayed92%Cancelled3%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:56 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:29 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the train's arrival at the destination, or a cancellation that stands, was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the source's own time on the report (a time given only to the second counts as the end of that second) or by when we received the report, whichever is earlier. For an arrival, if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
92%
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