Will the 17:24 from Caterham to London Bridge arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?
1P50 runs from Caterham to London Bridge for SN.
The journey
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time59%
chance of on time
- Delayed38%
- Cancelled3%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens1:33 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
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