9O45 ES from Paris Nord to London St Pancras International arrived on time on Sep 11
9O45 runs from Paris Nord to London St Pancras International for ES.
On time
market said 86%Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late
- Scheduled
- Sep 11, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 11, 2026, 5:01 PM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult86%
chance of on time
- Delayed13%
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens11:27 AM UTC
- Closes5:01 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.