Will 2L54 SW from Basingstoke to London Waterloo arrive on time on Sep 13?
2L54 runs from Basingstoke to London Waterloo for SW.
The journey
LiveWhat the market thinks
Connecting- On time80%
chance of on time
- Delayed18%
- Cancelled1%
$193 vol0 trades
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
No trades yetOn time80%Delayed18%Cancelled1%
No trades yet
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens1:35 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesInstant & automatic
Recent trades
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How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
80%