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TRAINS·2B69 AW
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Will 2B69 AW from Cardiff Central to Pembroke Dock arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 15?

2B69 runs from Cardiff Central to Pembroke Dock for AW.

The journey

Live

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    30%
  • Delayed
    69%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    1%
$243 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time30%Delayed69%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    9:26 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the train arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

People are also trading

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You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
Delayed
69%