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TRAINS·9S13 TP

9S13 TP from Newcastle to Edinburgh was delayed on Sep 14

9S13 runs from Newcastle to Edinburgh for TP.

Settled · Result

Delayed

market said 63%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means more than 5 minutes late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 1:59 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 2:05 PM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On time
    35%
  • DelayedResult
    63%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    2%
$5,799 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time35%Delayed63%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    7:48 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:05 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.