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TRAINS·1M88 TP

1M88 TP from Glasgow Central to Manchester Airport arrived on time on Sep 13

1M88 runs from Glasgow Central to Manchester Airport for TP.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 79%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 3:42 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    79%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    19%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$688 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time79%Delayed19%Cancelled2%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:38 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    3:40 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.