Will 2J34 GW from Basingstoke to Reading arrive on time on Sep 13?
2J34 runs from Basingstoke to Reading for GW.
Waiting on settlement data
The outcome has not been reported yet. We keep checking and will settle automatically as soon as the data arrives — there is no deadline and no funds have moved.
The journey
Where it finished
- On time35%
- Delayed63%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens1:31 AM UTC
- Closes12:36 PM UTC
- SettlesWaiting on settlement data
Recent trades
How it settles
The arrival is confirmed by two independent official sources, which must agree. A train arriving 5 or more minutes late at its destination settles "delayed"; an official planned cancellation settles "cancelled". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.