Skip to content
TRAINS·2S57 NT

Will the 12:30 from Blackpool South to Preston arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?

2S57 runs from Blackpool South to Preston for NT.

The journey

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    35%
  • Delayed
    62%

    chance of delayed

  • Cancelled
    3%
$91 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time35%Delayed62%Cancelled3%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:58 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the train arrives
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.