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Trains1M75 TP

Will the 12:04 from Glasgow Central to Liverpool Lime Street arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 28?

1M75 runs from Glasgow Central to Liverpool Lime Street for TP.

Closed

Waiting on the result

The result has not been reported or processed yet. We keep checking authoritative records and valid alternatives; no funds have moved. There is no automatic refund deadline while evidence is missing, and settlement waits until a valid outcome is established under this market's terms.

The journey

Where it finished

  • On time
    82%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    15%
  • Cancelled
    3%
$134 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time82%Delayed15%Cancelled3%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    6:47 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    2:48 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.