Skip to content
TRAINS·2S08 NT

2S08 NT from Manchester Piccadilly to New Mills Central arrived on time on Sep 14

2S08 runs from Manchester Piccadilly to New Mills Central for NT.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 95%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 14, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 14, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    95%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    4%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$445 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time95%Delayed4%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:41 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:49 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

Loading…

How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.