Will the 10:11 from Edinburgh to Manchester Airport arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 26?
1M85 runs from Edinburgh to Manchester Airport for TP.
The journey
LiveWhat the market thinks
Connecting- On time97%
chance of on time
- Delayed0%
- Cancelled3%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens1:44 AM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
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