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TRAINS·2B06 AW
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Will 2B06 AW from Cardiff Queen Street to Cardiff Bay arrive on time on Sep 13?

2B06 runs from Cardiff Queen Street to Cardiff Bay for AW.

The journey

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    1%
  • Delayed
    0%
  • Cancelled
    98%

    chance of cancelled

$631 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time1%Delayed0%Cancelled98%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:09 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the train arrives
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic

Recent trades

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How it settles

The arrival is confirmed by two independent official sources, which must agree. A train arriving 5 or more minutes late at its destination settles "delayed"; an official planned cancellation settles "cancelled". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Cancelled
98%