1Y26 LM from Birmingham New Street to London Euston was delayed on Sep 15
1Y26 runs from Birmingham New Street to London Euston for LM.
Delayed
market said 55%Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late
- Scheduled
- Sep 15, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 15, 2026, 10:27 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On time44%
- DelayedResult55%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens1:19 AM UTC
- Closes10:27 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.