1E52 NT from Manchester Victoria to Leeds arrived on time on Sep 13
1E52 runs from Manchester Victoria to Leeds for NT.
On time
market said 84%Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late
- Scheduled
- Sep 13, 2026, 8:46 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 13, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult84%
chance of on time
- Delayed14%
- Cancelled2%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens1:37 AM UTC
- Closes8:50 AM UTC
- SettlesResolved: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
The arrival is confirmed by two independent official sources, which must agree. A train arriving 5 or more minutes late at its destination settles "delayed"; an official planned cancellation settles "cancelled". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.