Will 503 AMTK from Seattle to Eugene arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sep 16?
503 runs from Seattle to Eugene for AMTK.
The journey
What the market thinks
Connecting- On time50%
chance of on time
- Delayed48%
- Cancelled2%
$60 vol
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Loading price historyOn time50%Delayed48%Cancelled2%
Loading price history
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens5:55 PM UTC
- ClosesWhen the train arrives
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
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How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
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On time
50%