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TRAINS·1R08 SN

1R08 SN from London Victoria to Reigate arrived on time on Sep 16

1R08 runs from London Victoria to Reigate for SN.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 90%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 16, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 16, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    90%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    9%
  • Cancelled
    1%
$299 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time90%Delayed9%Cancelled1%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:21 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    6:55 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.