1W10 AW from Crewe to Manchester Piccadilly arrived on time on Sep 15
1W10 runs from Crewe to Manchester Piccadilly for AW.
On time
market said 93%Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late
- Scheduled
- Sep 15, 2026, 6:14 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 15, 2026, 6:12 AM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult93%
chance of on time
- Delayed6%
- Cancelled1%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens1:29 AM UTC
- Closes6:12 AM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
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