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Trains1Y26 HX
All HX services

The 06:12 from Heathrow Terminal 5 to London Paddington arrived on time on Sep 16

1Y26 runs from Heathrow Terminal 5 to London Paddington for HX.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 99%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 16, 2026, 5:32 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 16, 2026, 5:32 AM UTC

The journey

Geof Sheppard · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heathrow Express1Y26

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    99%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    1%
  • Cancelled
    0%
$660 vol

The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time99%Delayed1%Cancelled0%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    1:12 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    5:32 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

A trade accepted after the train's arrival at the destination, or a cancellation that stands, was first published is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). Publication is dated by the source's own time on the report (a time given only to the second counts as the end of that second) or by when we received the report, whichever is earlier. For an arrival, if the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

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Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
99%
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