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TRAINS·1W12 LM

1W12 LM from Walsall to London Euston arrived on time on Sep 15

1W12 runs from Walsall to London Euston for LM.

Settled · Result

On time

market said 83%

Settled on the destination station's published arrival record against the published timetable; delayed means 5 minutes or more late

Scheduled
Sep 15, 2026, 7:21 AM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 15, 2026, 7:24 AM UTC

The journey

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    83%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    15%
  • Cancelled
    2%
$2,220 vol

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

Loading price historyOn time83%Delayed15%Cancelled2%
Loading price history

Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    12:46 AM UTC
  2. Closes
    7:24 AM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination station publishes, against the published timetable. A train that arrives late by the delay threshold or more settles "Delayed"; an official cancellation settles "Cancelled". The threshold and the timetabled arrival it is measured against are fixed when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the train, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 5 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.