05:12 Heathrow Terminal 5 to London Paddington
Settled · Result
On time76% implied
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From
Heathrow Terminal 5
4:12 AM UTC
To
London Paddington
4:33 AM UTC
- Scheduled
- Departed
- Running
- Held
- Arriving
- Arrived
Next stop: Heathrow Terminals 2 & 3
No trades yet · starting price even
76%
On time
22%
Delayed
1%
Cancelled
$122 vol · 0 trades
Timeline
- Opens12:12 AM UTC
- Closes4:31 AM UTC
- SettlesResolved: on_time · $1.00 / winning share
How it settles
The arrival is confirmed by two independent official sources — Darwin, National Rail's real-time system, and Network Rail's TRUST train reporting — which must agree. A train arriving 5 or more minutes late at its destination settles "delayed"; an official planned cancellation settles "cancelled". The source and the exact rule are locked in when the market opens — so the outcome is decided by the two feeds, not by anyone here.
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Recent trades
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