Waiting on the result
The result isn't in yet. No settlement payout has been made. For flights, we wait while an official arrival record may still be published. If no acceptable arrival time is available by the market's evidence deadline, positions are refunded automatically.
The journey
Chance at close
- On time1%
- Delayed94%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled5%
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Current prices are shown above.
Timeline and payout
- Market opens11:38 AM GMT-3
- Market closes10:00 PM GMT-3
- PayoutWaiting on the result
Recent trades
Rules
Settles "Delayed" if the ship arrives more than the delay threshold after its estimated arrival. The estimate and all other terms are fixed when the market opens. We use the arrival record the destination port publishes, checked after the tracking window closes.
Trades accepted after we first see the arrival on the destination port's board are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.
Delay threshold: 1,440 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.