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MSC COTONOU VIII arrived at Le Havre on time on Nov 14

Settled

On time

66% chance at close

Settled on the destination port authority's published arrival record against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened; on time means recorded within 1440 minutes of it

Scheduled
Nov 14, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Recorded
Nov 15, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC
Evidence received
Nov 15, 2026, 10:44 AM UTC

The journey

Alexandre Prevot from Nancy, France · CC BY-SA 2.0
MSC COTONOU VIIIIMO 9983671

Final chance

  • On timeResult
    66%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    29%
  • Cancelled
    5%
$4,750 vol

Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.

Price history

Loading price historyOn time66%Delayed29%Cancelled5%
Loading price history

Current prices are shown above.

Timeline and payout

  1. Market opens
    10:50 AM GMT+1
  2. Market closes
    12:30 AM GMT+1
  3. Payout
    Result: On time · $1.00 per share on the outcome that happens

Recent trades

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Rules

Settles "Delayed" if the ship arrives more than the delay threshold after its estimated arrival. The estimate and all other terms are fixed when the market opens. We use the arrival record the destination port publishes, checked after the tracking window closes.

Trades accepted after we first see the arrival on the destination port's board are voided and refunded in full, fees included. Bonus trades are refunded to your bonus balance. If the recorded arrival time is earlier, that is the cutoff.

Delay threshold: 1,440 minutes.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
  • You have material non-public information about what this market measures.
On time
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