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Will MEGA VICTORIA into Golfo Aranci arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sunday 13 September? Delayed means arriving more than 1440 minutes after the arrival estimate locked when the market opened. — On time

Settled · Result

On time

market said 94%

Settled on the destination port authority's published arrival record against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened; on time means recorded within 1440 minutes of it

Scheduled
Sep 13, 2026, 3:45 PM UTC
Recorded
Sep 13, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Evidence received
Sep 13, 2026, 9:11 PM UTC

Where it finished

  • On timeResult
    94%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    1%
  • Cancelled
    4%
$603 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time94%Delayed1%Cancelled4%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    10:32 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    9:11 PM UTC
  3. Settles
    Settled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.

This market's delay threshold is 1,440 minutes.

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.