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Will ETOILE into Auckland arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Wednesday 23 September? Delayed means arriving more than 1440 minutes after the arrival estimate locked when the market opened.

What the market thinks

Connecting
  • On time
    68%

    chance of on time

  • Delayed
    27%
  • Cancelled
    4%
$82 vol0 trades

That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.

How the chance has moved

No trades yetOn time68%Delayed27%Cancelled4%
No trades yet

Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.

Timeline

  1. Opens
    8:17 PM UTC
  2. Closes
    When the tracking window closes
  3. Settles
    Instant & automatic

Recent trades

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How it settles

We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.

People are also trading

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
  • You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.
On time
68%