BELLE L'ADRIATIQUE from Vis to Sibenik arrived on time on Sep 13
This voyage runs from Vis to Sibenik.
On time
market said 94%Settled on the destination port authority's published arrival record against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened; on time means recorded within 1440 minutes of it
- Scheduled
- Sep 13, 2026, 7:05 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 13, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 13, 2026, 8:16 PM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On timeResult94%
chance of on time
- Delayed2%
- Cancelled4%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens11:32 AM UTC
- Closes7:05 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: On time · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 1,440 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.