Will AQUAMARINE into Genova arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Sunday 13 September? Delayed means arriving more than 1440 minutes after the arrival estimate locked when the market opened.
Waiting on the result
The result has not been reported yet. We keep checking, and the market settles automatically the moment it arrives. There is no deadline, and no funds have moved.
Where it finished
- On time94%
chance of on time
- Delayed2%
- Cancelled4%
That's what people here are paying right now — not a forecast from us, and not an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Nothing has traded here yet, so the prices above are where this market opened. The line starts the moment someone takes a side.
Timeline
- Opens10:32 PM UTC
- Closes6:00 PM UTC
- SettlesWaiting on the result
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.
This market's delay threshold is 1,440 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.