Will ADRIANO KNUTSEN into Livorno arrive on time, be delayed, or be cancelled on Monday 14 September? — Delayed
Delayed
market said 2%Settled on the destination port authority's published arrival record against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened; on time means recorded within 1440 minutes of it
- Scheduled
- Sep 14, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC
- Recorded
- Sep 16, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC
- Evidence received
- Sep 16, 2026, 6:32 PM UTC
The journey
Where it finished
- On time94%
- DelayedResult2%
chance of delayed
- Cancelled4%
The displayed market price implies a probability, but does not show that a trade took place. On settled markets, it is the final market price. It is neither our forecast nor an official status from the operator.
How the chance has moved
Historical prices are being retrieved. Current market prices appear above.
Timeline
- Opens10:30 PM UTC
- Closes11:00 PM UTC
- SettlesSettled: Delayed · $1.00 if you called it right
Recent trades
How it settles
We read the arrival record the destination port publishes, once the tracking window closes. A voyage is measured against the arrival estimate locked when the market opened, not a published timetable. Arriving more than the delay threshold after that estimate settles "Delayed". The market's terms are fixed when it opens — so the outcome is decided by the record, not by anyone here.
A trade accepted after our reads of the destination port's board first showed the arrival is voided and refunded in full, including any fee (a bonus trade to your bonus balance). If the recorded arrival time is earlier, it is the cutoff instead.
This market's delay threshold is 1,440 minutes.
People are also trading
Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You are employed by any of the Source Agencies.
- You hold material, non-public information about whatever this market measures.