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53+ ships through the Ombai Strait (Nov 16 – Nov 22)?

Chance

Connecting
  • Yes
    50%
  • No
    50%

    chance of no

$499 vol

Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.

Price history

Loading price historyYes50%No50%
Loading price history

Current prices are shown above.

The journey

Timeline and payout

  1. Market opens
    7:41 AM UTC
  2. Market closes
    11:59 PM UTC
  3. Payout
    Waiting on the result

Recent trades

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Rules

Ombai Strait · ship transits · 2026-W47. Yes if the final count is ≥ 53. Otherwise No.

Covers one ISO week, Monday 00:00 to the next Monday 00:00 UTC. Settles once the final weekly count is published. Missing or incomplete data is fetched again and may be reviewed. Missing data never counts as zero transits.

Settlement source: Published weekly transit count

Insider trading is prohibited

You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:

  • You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
  • You have material non-public information about what this market measures.