896+ ships through the Strait of Gibraltar (Nov 9 – Nov 15)?
Chance
Connecting- Yes49%
- No51%
chance of no
$991 vol
Chance comes from the market price, which can show before any trade happens. On settled markets it's the final price. It isn't our forecast or an official status.
Price history
Loading price historyYes49%No51%
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Current prices are shown above.
The journey

Timeline and payout
- Market opens9:18 AM UTC
- Market closes11:59 PM UTC
- PayoutWaiting on the result
Recent trades
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Rules
Strait of Gibraltar · ship transits · 2026-W46. Yes if the final count is ≥ 896. Otherwise No.
Covers one ISO week, Monday 00:00 to the next Monday 00:00 UTC. Settles once the final weekly count is published. Missing or incomplete data is fetched again and may be reviewed. Missing data never counts as zero transits.
Settlement source: Published weekly transit count
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Insider trading is prohibited
You can't trade this market if any of these applies to you:
- You work for an organization whose data settles this market.
- You have material non-public information about what this market measures.